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  • SEAN DEBOTTE VS. KING DIGITAL ENTERTAINMENT PLC SECURITIES/INVESTMENT document preview
  • SEAN DEBOTTE VS. KING DIGITAL ENTERTAINMENT PLC SECURITIES/INVESTMENT document preview
  • SEAN DEBOTTE VS. KING DIGITAL ENTERTAINMENT PLC SECURITIES/INVESTMENT document preview
  • SEAN DEBOTTE VS. KING DIGITAL ENTERTAINMENT PLC SECURITIES/INVESTMENT document preview
  • SEAN DEBOTTE VS. KING DIGITAL ENTERTAINMENT PLC SECURITIES/INVESTMENT document preview
  • SEAN DEBOTTE VS. KING DIGITAL ENTERTAINMENT PLC SECURITIES/INVESTMENT document preview
  • SEAN DEBOTTE VS. KING DIGITAL ENTERTAINMENT PLC SECURITIES/INVESTMENT document preview
  • SEAN DEBOTTE VS. KING DIGITAL ENTERTAINMENT PLC SECURITIES/INVESTMENT document preview
						
                                

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w wn KEVIN P. MUCK (CSB No. 120918) kmuck@fenwick.com DEAN S. KRISTY (CSB No. 157646) dkristy@fenwick.com MARIE C. BAFUS (CSB No. 258417) mbafus@fenwick.com FENWICK & WEST LLP 555 California Street, 12th Floor San Francisco, California 94104 Telephone: (415) 875-2300 Facsimile: (415) 281-1350 Attorneys for Defendants King Digital Entertainment PLC, Hope Cochran, Robert S. Cohn and E. Stanton McKee ELECTRONICALLY FILED Supertor Court of Caltfornia, County of San Francisco 12/28/2016 Clerk of the Court BY:ANNA TORRES Deputy Clerk SUPERIOR COURT OF THE STATE OF CALIFORNIA COUNTY OF SAN FRANCISCO IN RE KING DIGITAL ENTERTAINMENT ple SHAREHOLDER LITIGATION This Document Relates To: ALL ACTIONS Lead Case No. CGC-15-544770 CLASS ACTION KING DEFENDANTS’ SUPPLEMENTAL SUBMISSION REGARDING PLAINTIFFS’ MOTION FOR PRELIMINARY APPROVAL OF SETTLEMENT Date: January 12, 2017 Time: 4:00 p.m. Dept: 304 Judge: The Honorable Curtis E.A. Karnow Action Filed: March 17, 2015 PUBLIC — REDACTS MATERIALS FROM CONDITIONALLY SEALED RECORD. KING DEFS.’ SUPP. SUBMISSION LEAD CASE NO. CGC-15-5447701 TABLE OF CONTENTS w ~ TN TROD UC TION errata tabetaatataeaitedat atoll abatarabebaesetederaretataratatababandedadetatetstatelatahatedstatatat 1 4) IL. DEFENDANTS BELIEVE THAT THEY WOULD HAVE PREVAILED IF THE CASE HAD NOT BEEN SETTLED.......cccscssesesssesssssesseeseessesessesnesseesesasssessesseessencseeeressse 2 wn A. King’s Business and Growth .n..cccecesseeesseseseseesesecseanseceesassesucereseseeassesseeeenesees 2 B. King’s IPO, Final Registration Statement and Prospectus... Cc. King’s Post-IPO Performance and Acquisition by Activision Blizzard ................. 3 D. Plaintiffs Would Not Prevail On Their Disclosure Claims ...........:.:esecseesesseeseees 6 1. Candy Crush .....cecccccceseecesuessscesssesseereacseesssssesnssesneassissserssessassneseensnesnes 6 II. KING DEFS.’ SUPP. SUBMISSION i LEAD CASE NO. CGC-15-544770w wn TABLE OF AUTHORITIES Page(s) Cases Blackmoss Inv. Inc. v. ACA Cap. Holdings, Inc., 2010 WL 148617 (S.D.NLY. Jan. 4, 2010)... eeeeeeeeeeceessessesseesessneeessesseesneesesesssessesneeneeeesseteneyy 6 Dura Pharms., Inc. v. Broudo, 544 U.S. 336 (2005) oo. ..sseesscesscessseeseeeseceseceseseseesseesseessessesseesasssuessnessnecsesseesecssmesnessnessnersnecsses 10 Mallen v. Alphatec Holdings, Inc., 861 F. Supp. 2d 1111 (S.D. Cal. 2012), aff'd, 607 F. App’x 694 (9th Cir. 2015)... eee 7 In re Noah Educ. Holdings, Ltd. Sec. Litig., 2010 WL 1372709 (S.D.N.Y. Mar. 31, 2010) ..ceececcecessessesseessssnssersseseeessesessessesseeressnseessecssess 7 Schuler v. NIVS Intellimedia Tech. Grp., Inc., 2013 WL 944777 (S.D.N.Y. Mar. 12, 2013) .....eeceeeeseeceeseesessecsesseeseesseesesneesesareseesneresseeeearene 10 In re Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetler, A.S. Sec. Lit 202 F. Supp. 2d 8 (S.D.N.Y. 2001). In re Worlds of Wonder Sec. Liti 35 F.3d 1407 (9th Cir, 1994)... ccceccseecseecseeesesesessseessesssesseessessuessusssnessnessecssecsserasecssecsssssnecssee 6,8 Zucker v. Quasha, 891 F. Supp. 1010 (D.N.J. 1995), aff'd, 82 F.3d 408 (3d Cir. 1996)... cesses 8 Statutes and Rules 15-1716 1777 (bt aac ata teeta ecb ecctetbtecaedat 10 17 CER. § 210-3.12(f) ssossssnsesssnssssnsesssseesensssasssensssesnnssssnsesnasessensesisssenssensannseusasssasesesses 8 17 CER. § 229.303(a)(3)( ii) -asosscssssnsesssssesssnsenasesessnssnsisssisanenssssisessntivasssesieseseese 7,8 KING DEFS.” SUPP. SUBMISSION ii LEAD CASE NO. CGC-15-544770w wn I. INTRODUCTION During the hearing on November 17, 2016 in connection with plaintiffs’ pending motion for preliminary approval of the class action settlement, the Court indicated that it would like the parties to provide additional information regarding the merits and defenses to plaintiffs” allegations, as well as causation and damages. This submission is made by defendants King Digital Entertainment PLC (“King” or the “Company”), Hope Cochran, Robert S. Cohn and E. Stanton McKee (collectively, the “King Defendants”) in response to the Court’s request. In providing this information, the King Defendants have focused on the main issues in this case, and they have not tried to anticipate or rebut every point or piece of evidence plaintiffs may choose to submit. The King Defendants have also tried to be selective in providing evidence to the Court that the King Defendants believe is illustrative of the points being made; it is by no means the full breadth of information that the King Defendants would offer if this case were being litigated on the merits.' In addition, the King Defendants have submitted the accompanying Declaration of Alexander Aganin, Ph.D (“Aganin Decl.”), which addresses certain causation and damages issues. As with all securities class action settlements, the proposed settlement in this case reflects a compromise in light of the risks, costs, and distraction associated with continued litigation. It was bargained for at arms-length, with the assistance of a highly experienced mediator (the Hon. Layn Phillips, a former federal judge). The parties argued their positions vigorously. While the King Defendants are highly confident that that they would have prevailed in this case, either on summary judgment or at trial, there are always risks that need to be considered and evaluated (in addition to the expense and distraction of ongoing litigation) that make settlement sensible. The King Defendants briefly summarize their position on the key issues below. ' The evidence cited is contained in the accompanying Appendix of Exhibits filed by the King Defendants. Because King (and, in one case, a third party) has designated certain of these documents as confidential pursuant to the Protective Order in this case, the King Defendants are also filing the companion motion to seal these confidential materials and providing notice of lodging to the third party pursuant to Cal. R. Ct. 2.551(b)(3). Cites to the exhibits are in the form “Def. Ex.” KING DEFS.’ SUPP. SUBMISSION 1 LEAD CASE NO. CGC-15-544770w wn Il. DEFENDANTS BELIEVE THAT THEY WOULD HAVE PREVAILED IF THE CASE HAD NOT BEEN SETTLED A. King’s Business and Growth This litigation relates to the March 26, 2014 initial public offering of King stock. King is one of the world’s foremost developers of casual games. Among its games is Candy Crush Saga (“Candy Crush” or “CCS”), a global phenomenon which was the best monetizing casual game in history. Other popular games include Farm Heroes Saga, Pet Rescue Saga, Papa Pear Saga and Bubble Witch Saga. Prospectus, dated March 25, 2014 (“Prospectus”) at 1-4, 51-53. King’s game development and distribution have fueled incredible growth, both before and after the IPO. In 2013, bookings rose to $1.98 billion (from $181.6 million), and revenue rose to $1.88 billion (from $164.4 million). Prospectus at 10-11, 46-47. Profits increased more than 7000%, from $7.8 million in 2012 to $567.8 million in 2013. /d. at 10. By the end of 2013, an average of 128 million daily active users (DAUs) played King’s games more than 1.2 billion times per day. Jd. at 52. Other key metrics also increased, including: © Monthly unique users (MUUs), the number of unique individuals who play any game ona specific platform in a 30-day period, which grew from 43 million to 304 million; « Monthly active users (MAUs), a measurement of the overall size of King’s network of users and their regular engagement with its portfolio of games, which rose from 67 million to 408 million; and * Monthly unique payers (MUPs), the average number of unique individuals who purchased a virtual item at least once in a 30-day period, which increased from 1.3 million to about 12.2 million (with a high of 13 million in the third quarter of 2013). Id. at 52, 55-57. Documents produced during discovery confirm that King anticipated that its business would continue to grow and prosper after the IPO. For example, Ee a King expected that such growth would be fueled by a diverse set of ? The Prospectus was part of the final Registration Statement (“Registration Statement”) filed by King with the SEC on March 25, 2014 in connection with the initial public offering. It is included in the King Defendants’ Appendix of Exhibits as Def. Ex. 1. KING DEFS.’ SUPP. SUBMISSION 2 LEAD CASE NO. CGC-15-544770w wn games, with non-CCS titles accounting for a0 ID T_T B. King’s IPO, Final Registration Statement and Prospectus On March 25, 2014, King filed its final Registration Statement. It described King’s key business metrics, together with a detailed analysis of those metrics on a quarterly basis for the two years leading up to the IPO. See Prospectus at 5, 10-12, 46-50, 53-58. Among those metrics were: revenues; profits and adjusted EBITDA; gross bookings; DAUs:; MAUs; MUUs; MUPs; and monthly gross average bookings per paying user (MGABPPU), a key measure of monetization across King’s network showing average spend per player per month. /d. at 53-58. The Prospectus also provided comprehensive disclosures of the risks and challenges facing King, including the fact that, at the end of 2013, three games accounted for 95% of its bookings. /d. at 13-36, 51-60. Cc. King’s Post-IPO Performance and Acquisition by Activision Blizzard King’s first quarter ended on March 31, 2014, and its results were disclosed on May 7, 2014. Revenues ($607 million) and bookings ($641 million) increased over the prior quarter. Def. Ex. 4 at 2. As stated in the Prospectus, the portion of bookings attributable to Candy Crush declined (from 78% to 67%), reflecting greater diversification. User metrics were all up substantially, and while MUPs declined slightly from 12.2 million to 11.9 million (about 2%), revenues grew because the average payer continued to spend more (MGABPPU increased). Jd. at 3. As King’s CFO noted internally in her report to the Board shortly after the quarter closed, J eS simply, it was a strong quarter. KING DEFS.’ SUPP. SUBMISSION 3 LEAD CASE NO. CGC-15-544770w wn ee ee De In other words, rather than furnishing disappointing information at odds with what was in the Prospectus, the disclosures on May 7, 2014 were Ee Analysts were likewise positive, with one noting that (apart from the slight decline in MUPs) King’s results for the first quarter as a public company reflected “strong growth on just about every other user metric.” Second Am. Consl. Cmpl. (“SACC”) 4 56. In the conference call that followed, King provided financial guidance for the year, estimating bookings of $2.55-$2.65 billion, revenue of $2.40-$2.50 billion, and an EBITDA margin of 40%. Def. Ex. 7 at 7-8. For the second quarter, King expected bookings, revenue and EBITDA margin to remain relatively flat, with continued revenue diversification (i.e., non-CCS titles contributing a greater percentage of total bookings). Id. King’s second quarter started very strong. April 2014 bookings vere ES ©: April 29, the Company prepared its updated “3 plus 9” forecast for the year, a ES 3: as mid-May 2014, King’s outlook for the second quarter estimated Ee Ee both of which would have exceeded guidance. a Beginning in the latter part of May 2014, however, King began seeing unexpected softening in its business. On May 28, management noted that Re ee As the quarter progressed into June, ee The Company announced second quarter results on August 12, 2014. Quarterly bookings ($611 million) were below the Company’s expectations, primarily because: (i) Farm Heroes Saga peaked earlier than expected; and (ii) CCS declined more than anticipated in the back-half of the quarter. Def. Ex. 12. Revenue ($594 million) was down sequentially, although profit increased 30% to $165 million. /d. at 2-3. MUPs were 10.4 million (down for the third straight quarter), KING DEFS.’ SUPP. SUBMISSION 4 LEAD CASE NO. CGC-15-544770w wn while average spending per paying user increased 8% to $19.54. The Company explained that the decrease in MUPs was primarily a result of reduced payment activity among the occasional payers of the network, in addition to an increased share of transactions coming from games offering virtual currency (resulting in larger but less frequent purchases). Jd. King also revised its outlook for the year: bookings for 2014 were expected to range from $2.25 billion to $2.35 billion, with bookings in Q3 expected to decline sequentially to a range of $500 million to $525 million. Jd. at 4. The Company’s actual results for 2014 exceeded its revised guidance. Bookings were almost $2.4 billion, an increase of $403 million over 2013, representing growth of 20%. Def. Ex. 13 at 2. Revenue was $2.26 billion, an increase of $376 million or 20% as well. Id. The Company’s EBITDA margin was 42% and, even after paying $364 million in cash dividends to shareholders during the year, the Company had cash and cash equivalents of $964 million — an increase of $555 million, primarily the result of generating $661 million in net cash from operating activities. Jd. In other words, rather than experiencing any sort of collapse, King’s first year as a public company resulted in revenue and bookings growth of 20%, critical diversification in its bookings, and enormous profitability and cash flow. On November 2, 2015, the Company announced that it had entered into an agreement to be acquired by a subsidiary of Activision Blizzard, Inc., pursuant to which all King stockholders would receive $18 per share in cash. Following approval by King stockholders and Irish takeover authorities, the acquisition was completed in February 2016. For those stockholders who bought during the class period at a price in excess of $18 per share, and who continued to hold their shares thereafter, the acquisition price limits their alleged loss. Those who acquired King shares at less than $18 and continued to hold those shares did not incur any loss.* * Despite the fact that King grew its business over 20% in its first year as a public company, and was enormously profitable, its share price traded below the IPO price before it was acquired by Activision Blizzard. King, however, was not a guarantor of the trading price of its shares on the open market, which is influenced by a wide-variety of factors. Moreover, King provided extensive risks in the Prospectus regarding factors that could impact its results, and specifically referenced risks to its stock price. See, e.g., Prospectus at 31-32. KING DEFS.’ SUPP. SUBMISSION 5 LEAD CASE NO. CGC-15-544770w wn D. Plaintiffs Would Not Prevail On Their Disclosure Claims Plaintiffs’ Section 11 claim was based on three alleged omissions from the Prospectus: (i) the portion of total bookings attributable to CCS would decline from 78% in the fourth quarter of 2013 to 67% in the first quarter of 2014; (ii) the decline in MUPs would continue; and (iii) some King users had free “lives” donated by Facebook friends allegedly deleted from their accounts. SACC ff 36-54. Each of these theories is addressed below. 1. Candy Crush If the case continued to be litigated, plaintiffs would not prevail on their claim regarding the declining percentage of Candy Crush bookings because the information purportedly “omitted” was, in fact, disclosed in the Registration Statement. Specifically, King explained that while Candy Crush accounted for 78% of total bookings during the fourth quarter of 2013, “[i]n future periods, we expect Candy Crush Saga to represent a smaller percentage of our total mobile channel bookings as we diversify our mobile game portfolio.” Prospectus at 13 (emphasis added). That point was reiterated in King’s discussion of its “Key Financial Metrics”: Gross bookings in the quarter ended December 31, 2013 slightly declined compared to the quarter ended September 30, 2013. The decline was driven by a decrease in Candy Crush Saga gross bookings, which was mostly offset by an increase in gross bookings across all of our other games... [4] In future periods, as we continue to diversify our mobile game portfolio, we expect Candy Crush Saga to represent a smaller percentage of our total mobile channel and overall gross bookings. Id. at 54-55 (emphasis added). There can be no Section 11 liability where the supposedly omitted facts are actually disclosed in the Prospectus. See, e.g., Blackmoss Inv. Inc. v. ACA Cap. Holdings, Inc., 2010 WL 148617, at *8 (S.D.N.Y. Jan. 4, 2010). Plaintiffs have argued the Company should have quantified the precise amount by which Candy Crush bookings would decline in the first quarter of 2014 — i.e., that for the quarter in progress at the time of the IPO, Candy Crush would comprise 67% of total bookings (down from 78% in the preceding quarter). However, King was not required by statute or SEC rule to include interim first quarter results in the Registration Statement. See In re Worlds of Wonder Sec. Litig., 35 F.3d 1407, 1419 (9th Cir. 1994), To the contrary, “[t]he disclosure structure set out by the SEC ... recognizes how unworkable and potentially misleading a system of instantaneous KING DEFS.’ SUPP. SUBMISSION 6 LEAD CASE NO. CGC-15-544770FENWICK & WEST LLP ATTORNEYS AT LAW SAN FRANCISCO disclosure ... would be.” In re Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetler, A.S. Sec. Litig., 202 F. Supp. 2d 8, 13 (S.D.N-Y. 2001). Courts have consistently rejected claims based on alleged omission of interim results as “little more than an end-run around the carefully delineated SEC regulations that specify what financial data must be disclosed in the offering documents.” Jn re Noah Educ. Holdings, Ltd. Sec. Litig., 2010 WL 1372709, at *7 (S.D.N.Y. Mar. 31, 2010). Indeed, for such reasons, King would have offered evidence that the investment community does not expect such disclosures to be made. That is especially true here, given ht i ee ee Nor could plaintiffs show that Item 303 of Regulation S-K (17 C.F.R. § 229.303), which relates to disclosure of “known trends” under certain circumstances, required quantification of first quarter bookings data. To the extent that there was a “known trend” —i.e., that Candy Crush bookings would “represent a smaller percentage of ... total mobile channel and overall gross bookings” — it was expressly disclosed. Prospectus at 54-55. Even setting that aside, Item 303 only requires disclosure of “known trends” if a company “reasonably expects [they] will have a material ... unfavorable impact on net sales or revenues or income from continuing operations.” 17 CFR. § 229.303(a)(3)(ii); see also Mallen v. Alphatec Holdings, Inc., 861 F. Supp. 2d 1111, 1127 (S.D. Cal. 2012), aff'd, 607 F. App’x 694 (9th Cir. 2015). Here, King’s total bookings, revenues and profits increased in the first quarter of 2014. Moreover, prior to and afer he 1°, i In other words, the evidence is entirely in line with King’s disclosures and Item 303.' LEAD CASE NO. CGC-15-544770 | KING DEFS.’ SUPP. SUBMISSIONFENWICK & WEST LLP ATTORNEYS aT LAW SAN FRANCISCO 2. MUPs The Prospectus disclosed the number of MUPs over each of the eight quarters leading up to the IPO, including the most recently completed quarter (the fourth quarter of 2013). MUPs grew from 411,000 in the first quarter of 2012 to a high of 13,012,000 (in the third quarter of 2013), before declining to 12,165,000 in the fourth quarter of 2013. Prospectus at 5, 56, 58. The Prospectus also disclosed the level of MUUs over the same period. Jd. at 56. To the extent anyone wished to calculate the ratio between MUPs and MUUs, and thus ascertain the percentage of paying users (i.e, MUPs/MUUs), they could do so based on the data provided (and would see that this ratio had declined since the second quarter of 2013 from about 5.3%, to 4.8% in the third quarter, to 4.0% in the fourth quarter). See id. at 56. In other words, the Prospectus disclosed that MUPs had declined (both in absolute terms and as a percentage of MUUs) in the period leading up to the IPO. Plaintiffs assert that King should have projected that MUPs would decline in the in- progress first quarter of 2014. As discussed above, Section 11 does not require an issuer to provide interim results or projections concerning the quarter in which it goes public. See SEC Reg. S-X, 17 C.F.R. § 210-3.12(f) (setting forth required financial data, which does not include the quarter in which the issuer goes public); Zucker v. Quasha, 891 F. Supp. 1010, 1019 (D.N.J. 1995), aff'd, 82 F.3d 408 (3d Cir. 1996); Worlds of Wonder, 35 F.3d at 1419. Furthermore, as discussed in the preceding section, Item 303 applies only to “known trends” that are “reasonably expect[ed] ... [to] have a material ... unfavorable impact on net sales or revenues or income from continuing operations.” 17 C.F.R. § 229.303(a)(3)(ii). Here, King’s revenues increased in the first quarter of 2014. Def. Ex. 4 at 2-3. a PE (e280 ine of ie PO, KING DEFS.’ SUPP. SUBMISSION LEAD CASE NO. CGC-15-544770FENWICK & WEST LLP ATTORNEYS AT LAW SAN FRANCISCO an unassailable indication that it did not anticipate that the level of MUPs would adversely impact revenues or operating results. ee Accordingly, if the case continued to be litigated, plaintiffs would be unable to establish that King both knew that MUPs would decline significantly and that any decline was likely to have an adverse effect on revenues or operating results.” 3. Deleted Free Lives Plaintiffs’ last claim is that the Prospectus failed to disclose that some users had free “lives” donated by Facebook friends allegedly deleted from their accounts. SACC §§ 50-53. This allegation was derived from a consumer class action suit filed on March 2, 2015 in the Northern District of Hlinois. There is no evidence that this was a material or significant issue, or that it even existed at the time of the IPO. Rather than “alienating users,” King experienced unprecedented growth in the popularity of its games: in December 2013, an average of 128 million DAUs — up from 15 million a year earlier — played the Company’s games more than 1.2 billion times per day and, by February 2014, an average of 144 million DAUs played King’s games more than 1.4 billion times per day. Prospectus at 1,57. This hardly demonstrates that the large and growing network of users playing King’s games were somehow being alienated, much less that this “issue” was having a significant or material impact on the Company. Similarly, as to the assertion that revenues were inflated in an unspecified amount over an unstated period prior to the IPO, plaintiffs ignore that no user paid for “free lives,” and any user who ran out of lives could simply wait 30 minutes (or adjust the clock on his device) to receive further free lives. Plaintiffs have been unable to establish that any revenues — which grew from $164 million in 2012 to over $1.88 billion in 2013 due to the enormous popularity of King’s KING DEFS.’ SUPP. SUBMISSION LEAD CASE NO. CGC-15-544770FENWICK & WEST LLP ATTORNEYS aT LAW. SAN FRANCISCO games — were even inflated by this issue, let alone materially inflated. Even ignoring these issues, however, plaintiffs’ claim fails due to the absence of loss causation. As explained further below, a “negative causation” defense bars Section 11 claims where, as here, defendants can show the Company’s stock price did not decline in reaction to any “corrective” disclosure of relevant information to the market. Plaintiffs allege that King’s stock price declined “over 5%” when the Illinois lawsuit was filed on March 2, 2015, apparently referencing the decline from the closing price on Friday, February 27 ($15.79) to the closing price on Monday, March 2 ($15.02). See SACC 453. This assertion is wrong for two fundamental reasons. First, there is no evidence that the market was aware of the Illinois lawsuit until after the market closed on March 2 (at the earliest). Accordingly, the decline on March 2 was not due to “news” of the Illinois case. Second, defendants’ expert has explained that the decline on that date was attributable to another factor: the effect of King’s $300 million special dividend to shareholders and that fact that King’s shares went “ex-dividend” on that date. See Aganin Decl. § 15. Accordingly, if the case proceeded, plaintiffs would be unable to establish any liability or damage associated with this allegation. E. Even If Plaintiffs Could Show A Section 11 Violation (And They Cannot), They Face Loss Causation Obstacles That Will Substantially Diminish Any Claimed Damages The Section 11 claim also faces other loss causation issues that will substantially reduce any claimed damages. Section 11 provides a “negative causation” defense. See 15 U.S.C. § 77k(e). A stock price decline that is not caused by a “corrective disclosure” of allegedly misleading information in the Prospectus is not recoverable. See, e.g., Schuler v. NIVS Intellimedia Tech. Grp., Inc., 2013 WL 944777, at *9 (S.D.N-Y. Mar. 12, 2013) (citing Dura Pharms., Inc. v. Broudo, 544 U.S. 336, 344 (2005). The King Defendants were prepared to offer expert testimony concerning statistically KING DEFS.’ SUPP. SUBMISSION 10 LEAD CASE NO. CGC-15-544770w wn significant stock price drops, whether such drops were tied to any “corrective disclosure,” and the appropriate measure of damages. Only two post-IPO price movements identified by plaintiffs have statistical significance: those associated with King’s earnings releases for the first quarter of 2014 (May 7, 2014) and second quarter (August 12, 2014). See Aganin Decl. §§ 11-14. In the May 7, 2014 earnings release, King reported increases in bookings, revenues, DAUs, MAUs and MUUs. Def. Ex. 4. It also disclosed that Candy Crush accounted for 67% of overall bookings (down from 78% in the prior quarter, showing that its diversification strategy was working). /d. King further reported that MUPs declined from 12.2 million to 11.9 million, while the average spend per payer again increased (to $18.02 from $17.32). Id. As set forth above, these disclosures are entirely consistent with the Prospectus, and do not give rise to any potential liability. Nevertheless, assuming arguendo that the stock price decline on May 7 constituted a “corrective” disclosure regarding the declining percentage of Candy Crush bookings and the decline in MUPs, and that the full residual drop on that day ($2.54 per share) was solely attributable to those disclosures rather than other factors, Dr. Aganin has preliminarily estimated damages of approximately $53 million. Once King reported its actual first quarter results and provided forward-looking guidance on May 7, 2014, investor expectations regarding Candy Crush bookings and MUPs were no longer based on information in the Prospectus. By then, the market “knew” that Candy Crush bookings had declined to 67% of total bookings (the allegedly “omitted” fact), and that MUPs had declined in consecutive quarters (the other allegedly “omitted” fact). As expert testimony would establish, any price drop after May 7, 2014 cannot be tied to allegedly misleading disclosures in the Prospectus. In other words, negative causation is a complete defense to any declines after May 7, 2014. See Aganin Decl. §f{ 9-15. The second quarter earnings release, issued on August 12, 2014, underscores the point. In that release, King reported second quarter results that were below its expectations due to developments well after the IPO, and the Company revised its estimates for the remainder of the year. See Def. Ex. 12. While the stock price declined on August 13, that was due to the revised guidance — not to correction of any statements in the Prospectus. See Aganin Decl. § 14. KING DEFS.’ SUPP. SUBMISSION 11 LEAD CASE NO. CGC-15-544770w wn Accordingly, none of the price decline on August 13 is recoverable as damages under Section 11. III. CONCLUSION For the reasons set forth above, the King Defendants had a very strong case on the merits, and believe they would have prevailed if the case had not been settled. In addition, even putting aside liability issues, plaintiffs’ case faced substantial causation and damages problems, which would have severely limited (or even eliminated) any potential recovery. DATED: December 28, 2016 FENWICK & WEST LLP /s/ Dean S. Kristy DEAN S. KRISTY (CSB No. 157646) KEVIN P. MUCK (CSB No. 120918) MARIE C. BAFUS (CSB No. 258417) 555 California Street, 12th Floor San Francisco, CA 94104 Telephone: 415/875-2384 415/281-1350 (fax) dkristy@fenwick.com kmuck@fenwick.com mbatus@fenwick.com Attorneys for Defendants King Digital Entertainment plc, Hope Cochran, Robert S. Cohn and E. Stanton McKee KING DEFS.’ SUPP. SUBMISSION 12 LEAD CASE NO. CGC-15-544770